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AI ML Post #6513 · source on Telegram

Nvidia's Hypothetical Stock Crash After a Competitor's AI Breakthrough

Description

This image is a fictional infographic titled 'THE BIGGEST SINGLE-DAY STOCK DECLINES'. It presents a speculative scenario set in the near future. The main focus is a list of the ten largest single-day stock market losses, with the claim that 'Nvidia has experienced 8 of the 10 biggest single-day stock declines'. The list includes real companies like Amazon and Meta, but the most dramatic entry is a massive, hypothetical -$560B loss for NVIDIA on January 27, 2025. Below the list, a caption explains the fictional event: 'Nvidia's stock plummeted after a Chinese startup called DeepSeek released a powerful AI model.' The visual is completed with a downward-trending red arrow and a cartoon of panicked investors with 'SELL?' speech bubbles. The technical context for this meme is the intense speculation surrounding Nvidia's dominance in the AI hardware market. It humorously projects a future where a competitor's breakthrough in AI models could single-handedly decimate Nvidia's market value, reflecting the high stakes and volatile nature of the AI industry. For senior engineers, it's a commentary on market concentration and the ever-present threat of disruptive innovation

Comments

53
Anonymous ★ Top Pick The real joke is thinking a new model could crash the stock. The real catalyst would be a competitor releasing a GPU with drivers that don't require a kernel recompile and a blood sacrifice to install
  1. Anonymous ★ Top Pick

    The real joke is thinking a new model could crash the stock. The real catalyst would be a competitor releasing a GPU with drivers that don't require a kernel recompile and a blood sacrifice to install

  2. Anonymous

    NVIDIA keeps applying 50 % dropout to its market cap every few months - meanwhile I still need a three-month lead time and a VP’s blessing for a single H100. Apparently backprop only fixes graphs, not supply chains

  3. Anonymous

    After years of telling us we need $100K GPU clusters to train competitive models, NVIDIA discovers the real AGI was the efficient algorithms we ignored along the way. Turns out the most expensive compute in history was calculating how much money they just lost

  4. Anonymous

    When a Chinese startup optimizes your entire business model out of existence with a single model release, and you realize your $560B market cap was just poorly cached hype. Turns out 'CUDA moat' wasn't as deep as the balance sheet suggested - DeepSeek just found the O(1) solution while everyone else was stuck in O(n²) spending

  5. Anonymous

    Architecture lesson: if your AI roadmap is just “buy more H100s,” a single DeepSeek release becomes a production incident - blast radius measured in $560B

  6. Anonymous

    DeepSeek just proved AI's true moat is inference efficiency, not GPU farms - Nvidia's datacenter empire debugged in one model release

  7. Anonymous

    DeepSeek merged one PR and Nvidia lost $560B - turns out the ultimate GPU optimization is replacing H100s with math

  8. @Horace4815162342 1y

    I have a feeling this post will be deleted

  9. @Valithor 1y

    I think the thing people are missing the most is that the kind of people who are pumping Nvidia are the same tech bros who have been pumping crypto for the last ten years. They don't understand the market and never will, they're just fad chasers.

  10. @Valithor 1y

    Nvidia has been very overvalued for a while now. It wasn't until this AI bullshit started coming around that anyone was talking about anything other than their stock being about to crash because of the bullshit with their vendors

    1. dev_meme 1y

      Overvalued? There’s just too much money being printed in last 5 years and those money went to those top tech companies Meanwhile, nvidia +5% on pre-market

  11. @Valithor 1y

    I struggle to think of a more overvalued company other than Gamestop

    1. dev_meme 1y

      Serious re-evaluation not gonna happen till recession happens

  12. @beton_kruglosu_totchno 1y

    why is admin's english so impostor

  13. @GLXBX 1y

    Waiting for the post where admin will realize he is the retard

    1. @ImJmik 1y

      Like every post?

      1. @GLXBX 1y

        We know this, but he is still oblivious I believe

  14. @Hollow_Arigo 1y

    My English not enough to understand wtf admin meant.But the only thing that I understand, that usually investors with 90% don't understand in wtf they are investing

  15. @sandor73 1y

    Notice how in the past years this happens around summer?

    1. @sylfn 1y

      Northern or Southern Hemisphere?

      1. @sylfn 1y

        ah uh i thought it was "10 prev days" and missed the actual ones

  16. @sandor73 1y

    Yeah, suck it.

  17. @SamsonovAnton 1y

    No offence, but the entire situation with "AI lunacy" looks so stupid.

    1. @Qaaqqaaqwe 1y

      not offensive at all, wall st knows 0 about tech

      1. @qtsmolcat 1y

        Everyone knows any products with more than two AIs in the name is automatically better

  18. @phobosperi 1y

    > retards > admin own no position

  19. @Mitsune 1y

    More money for me

  20. @rtyusxz 1y

    I buy

  21. @zaynbeayn 1y

    perfect cup and handle

  22. @Draxly 1y

    nvidiacel cope

  23. @CammyDeer 1y

    My BF is watching this while rubbing his hands and cackling, waiting until it bottoms out so he can grab stocks.

    1. @echedelle 1y

      > bottoms out

  24. @azizhakberdiev 1y

    ur lucky that not everyone knows the meaning of this image

    1. @noi01 1y

      i don't think there is any hidden meaning, just a caricature

      1. @azizhakberdiev 1y

        until you find it in a history book

      2. @azizhakberdiev 1y

        in short, it is very racist

        1. @noi01 1y

          that was pretty obvious lol

          1. @azizhakberdiev 1y

            I guess people from Israel don't find it very funny

            1. @noi01 1y

              So what? That's not the reason to not use the funny pic. Besides, i know a few people of jewish descent and they produce 10x antisemitic jokes

              1. @azizhakberdiev 1y

                This pic was never meant to be funny. Whatever, but don't use it again unless you have a beef with someone

  25. @callofvoid0 1y

    🤣🤣🤣

  26. @RiedleroD 1y

    ah right, the bot is down

  27. @RiedleroD 1y

    I can ban you manually if you're trying to egg me on

    1. @noi01 1y

      thats literally a pic of a cat

      1. @RiedleroD 1y

        with a jewish cap

        1. @noi01 1y

          is thats bad?

          1. @RiedleroD 1y

            man, who are you trying to fool, hm? just cut it out or you're getting banished

            1. @noi01 1y

              look into sticker pack, its literally pro-jewish

              1. @RiedleroD 1y

                why do you even have that

                1. @noi01 1y

                  why shouldn't i? 🫤

  28. @AlexKart20129 1y

    The retards who are selling NVIDIA now are the same retards who have been constantly buying NVIDIA for the last 5 years.

    1. dev_meme 1y

      Shorts on margin still exist

  29. @dsmagikswsa 1y

    Do you just want to say Jevons paradox?

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